Don Fonte Posted December 29, 2020 Author Share Posted December 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, rocket_scientist said: It was indeed. I thought 1/4 was nailed on for the home win, 37.5% better than SP. Need either Norwich or Dundee to wash my face tonight. I need Man Utd on a separate bet, otherwise it's a shocker of a day. Although likewise Dundee could save it. Link to comment
Don Fonte Posted December 29, 2020 Author Share Posted December 29, 2020 31 minutes ago, rocket_scientist said: It was indeed. I thought 1/4 was nailed on for the home win, 37.5% better than SP. Need either Norwich or Dundee to wash my face tonight. Dundee 2-1 up. Link to comment
Don Fonte Posted December 29, 2020 Author Share Posted December 29, 2020 Ok it's an ok day. Terrific Link to comment
Don Fonte Posted December 29, 2020 Author Share Posted December 29, 2020 21 minutes ago, rocket_scientist said: Late Man U winner helps the Hat's luckiest and best punter ?? Luckiest for sure. Link to comment
Matt Armstrong's Dog Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 £10 in-play win bet on St. Mirren (13/2) and Celtic (1/6). £88 potential return. Link to comment
Don Fonte Posted December 30, 2020 Author Share Posted December 30, 2020 Staked - £35 Returned - £30.89 Link to comment
Studebaker-90 Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 Another two shockers with Barcelona especially losing out at 1/3 odds. Link to comment
Matt Armstrong's Dog Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 Bet here inoo....£450 if Newcastle draw. Offered £250 inoo, take it or leave it? Link to comment
Matt Armstrong's Dog Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 7 minutes ago, Studebaker-90 said: Leave it I took it loon, £317 for a ton bet. Liverpool are not that great. Link to comment
daytripping Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 Cash out is offered as it makes the bookies money, ALWAYS ignore. You might score now and then but will lose using it in the long run. Link to comment
daytripping Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 On 12/29/2020 at 8:04 PM, Don Fonte said: Saw them at 8/15 just as it started. Not the easiest picking winners just now. Use over 1.5 goals instead of trying to pick odds on winners. Link to comment
Matt Armstrong's Dog Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 1 minute ago, daytripping said: Cash out is offered as it makes the bookies money, ALWAYS ignore. You might score now and then but will lose using it in the long run. Very true, and I am pissed off. But I am so happy I identified a niche that Liverpool are not that very good to make some money? Link to comment
daytripping Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 1 minute ago, rocket_scientist said: Does it not depend on the outcomes? No. Bookies use algorithms, long run they'll always benefit from it and the punter lose. It wouldn't exist otherwise, just another tool for them to part your money. Link to comment
daytripping Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 3 minutes ago, rocket_scientist said: Why? Lot of games, short space of time, upsets happen, goals still get scored. Link to comment
daytripping Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 5 minutes ago, rocket_scientist said: What is the average odds for +1.5 goals? Better in play, not great at the start but winners better than a loser. How many coupons did Barca break the other night. Link to comment
daytripping Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 3 minutes ago, rocket_scientist said: I've never used the over/under no. of goals (nor btts) so I'm just wondering what the average odds you get for +1.5 pre match? Depends the game but it's a good market to play in, especially in play where both teams are having shots on goal. Link to comment
daytripping Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 1 minute ago, rocket_scientist said: So how do you make money? Singles, doubles? Is this a strategy you've used yourself? If so you'll know the average odds. Doubles to try and make up an evens bet is what I do, maybe a couple 1/2 or close. Link to comment
daytripping Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 Santiago Morning v Nublense Dep. Santa Cruz v San Luis One more goal needed in each, pays 1.05 just now. Link to comment
daytripping Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, rocket_scientist said: Are you in profit with this strategy? Win some lose some, if I was more disciplined following the stats I'd profit but I lose focus. Link to comment
daytripping Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 The bet I just posted has both teams attacking with lots of shots. Link to comment
daytripping Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 3 minutes ago, rocket_scientist said: Are you +1.5 and +2.5 on these two? I'm not but it just won, was an easy pick out. Just an example. Lot going on just now, spending money on house renovation plans, no time for bookies. Link to comment
daytripping Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 8 minutes ago, rocket_scientist said: What was your winning bet then, if it wasn't +1.5 x +2.5? It was that many goals, at the time I posted returned just over evens. I meant I didn't place a bet, was busy ordering wood floor samples!! lol Link to comment
daytripping Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, rocket_scientist said: So 1.05 was an estimate then? Did you mean a 5% return on stake? 105% return on stake. Since I posted both games have had 2 more goals but would have been risky, probs looking at 400%. Link to comment
daytripping Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 Just now, rocket_scientist said: You've lost me. I thought we were getting a new strategy for beating the bookie. Same as you guys are trying, low odds doubled to make a larger return. I think waiting to see stats and how the game is going is better than picking days in advance, plus using goals scored. Got to take every advantage, bookies are billion pound companies, they offer what they make money off. I think in play and real discipline is the only way to beat them. How many times have you said a goal is coming here when watching a game, use that. Link to comment
daytripping Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, rocket_scientist said: Not that you could've known anyway what the payout would've been as you never placed a bet. I put the bet in my account, that told me the odds, got to 1.9 before the first goal. Link to comment
daytripping Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 6 minutes ago, rocket_scientist said: Where we have an advantage is picking value when the odds first come out. This often nets 30-50%+ better returns (if it comes in). I prefer picking on stats and knowledge on the leagues that tend to score goals, South America is a minefield but Chile and Bolivia lower leagues tend to have goals, same as Belgian lower leagues. Bookies ovs know and price accordingly but stats if you're patient can pay off. I like a beer so often strategy goes out the window and bookie gets richer, such is life. Link to comment
Quagmire Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 Over 1.5 team goals is on average the same as a straight win. Maybe just slightly less at times i.e. if a teams 8/13 the >1.5 TG might be 4/7, 8/15. Dependent on the teams goals for stats. I use it on the odd occasion. Just takes away the 1-0 win result. Link to comment
maryhilldon Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 17 hours ago, daytripping said: I prefer picking on stats and knowledge on the leagues that tend to score goals, South America is a minefield Avoid Brazil and Argentina if you're looking for goals, rarely more than 1 or 2 goals. Although the last twice I've betted on under 2.5 goals it's been fucked after 30 mins, finishing 6-2 and 5-3! Link to comment
Don Fonte Posted December 31, 2020 Author Share Posted December 31, 2020 Saturday - Montrose to beat Forfar - 1/2 Link to comment
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